Return to front page

Newest article: Hendon v Truro highlights by johnnybaker11/1 15:34Wed Jan 11 15:34:31 2023view thread

Oldest article: Great win today by CC6517/11/2013 19:31Sun Nov 17 19:31:55 2013view thread


Next thread: March Madness! by rwakeley25/2/2018 12:32Sun Feb 25 12:32:58 2018view thread

Some more rambling thoughts

By rwakeley25/2/2018 17:24Sun Feb 25 17:24:42 2018

Views: 1960

Spent the afternoon evaluating FWP. I have drawn up 2 separate tables - one for the top 9 teams inter-league clashes and 1 table for games left for those sides inclusive of all oppositions. Interesting findings.
They have us reaching 83pts derived from 6 wins, 5 draws and only 2 losses! In the mini-league at the top they have us as the only team failing to gain a win against our fellow promotion candidates - so unlikely. Folkestone meanwhile have a devilish end with 5 games against top 9 sides in the final month.
FWP's as a predictive model looks interesting under the microscope.
In 25 games within the top mini-league they are predicting only 1 away win, 11 draws and only 4 games with a winning margin more than 1 goal. No winning margin above 2-0. The key emphasis on such a skewed home win suggests that it does stabilize the final outcome. Ironically, should they get all the results wrong and games are won by the away sides, the outcome with regards to the final table would be almost the same!
Maintain what we have done to date, we have a realistic chance.

reply to this article | return to the front page

Previous thread: Situation Vacant: New Turnstile Operator Required for Next Season by John Rogers23/2/2018 17:01Fri Feb 23 17:01:48 2018view thread