Now for some mumbo jumbo
On Saturday's away from the match action I often do some number crunching - with Monday in view.
Four North London foes, Hendon, Enfield, Wingate and Harrow have each now had 5 full seasons on rivalry.
In a mini-league context, Enfield lead the way with an impressive 60% win rate versus an overall win rate of 42% for all league matches (226 games in total).
Next up Wingate, 53% win rate versus 38% overall. Harrow's is 27% correlated to an overall 31%
Both Harrow and Hendon have yet to win at Enfield. Harrow have this season won at Wingate following 5 straight losses. Enfield are top dog.
Hendon have won 8, lost 16 out of 30 games giving a win rate identical to Harrow. Our overall win rate is 40%.
Ironically, out of all the clubs, Hendon have amassed the most points in the five seasons overall campaigns due to drawn matches.
With 18 points up for grabs locally each season, we average 6 a season over each campaign. Our highest total was a relatively paltry 10 points the year we reached the play-offs.
Our average total points accumulation is 66 points - 77 is the average to hit the play-offs. Being bottom of our local league suggests to me that should we do well in our manor then this bodes very well for our overall position.
I know this is all somewhat ambigious, Enfield amassed a maximum 18 points in 2012 and finished 16th!
As for Bank Holiday Monday derby matches, in five years, we have only two wins - both in our play-off season!
Some thought provoking stuff - We have under-performed locally - huge scope for improvement - if there's a conceivable additional ten points in circulation, it does make a difference.
Arsene Wenger loves his derby game theory - It's time we took over the mantle of top dog in North London.
Next article in this thread: Re: Now for some mumbo jumbo by SteveHFC26/8 20:24Sat Aug 26 20:24:23 2017